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Crown Green Handicap

Shaun Keenaghan

Team: Carr Mill ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

970

Current Handicap

8
Honours
Season:

29

Matches Played

12

Wins

17

Losses

41%

Win Rate

4.7

Avg Win Margin

6.7

Avg Loss Margin

8-4

Home Record

4-13

Away Record

50%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
29 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/5/2023

Only 29 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 154/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 29 matches

+8 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

19 Apr7 Jun9 Aug11 Apr16 May27 Jun1 Aug5 Sept-1259

Gives 8 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current8
Win Percentage(40%)
41%
score-0.17→contribution-0.07
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
4.7
score-0.56→contribution-0.14
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.7
score+0.22→contribution+0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Opponent Strength(10%)
959
score-0.22→contribution-0.02
Weighted Score-0.198
Sample Size Confidence
50%(29/41 matches)
Rating941 → shrunk 970
Handicap
8

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

12W17L29 matches·41.4% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Carr Mill A2022–2023Division 129121741.4%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/5/2023Mark SweetA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
8/29/2023Paul GartsideH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
8/15/2023Connor FlahertyH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
8/8/2023Ronnie BelshawA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
8/1/2023Liam GregsonA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
7/25/2023Martin WebsterH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
7/18/2023Neil LynchA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
7/11/2023Dave TwiggH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 1
6/27/2023R BevingtonH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
6/21/2023Mike MullenA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
6/6/2023Ryan SemmensA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
5/30/2023David UnsworthH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
5/16/2023Andy TurnerA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
5/9/2023Terry KellyH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
5/2/2023Simon TaylorA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 1
4/18/2023Stuart HodsonA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
4/11/2023Frank TwissH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
9/6/2022Chris DagnallA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
8/30/2022John WhiteH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
8/23/2022Ken LethbridgeA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
8/9/2022Keith SmithA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 1
7/5/2022Alan WaterworthA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1
6/21/2022Graham ParrA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
6/14/2022Mal PerksH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
6/7/2022UnknownA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 1
5/24/2022Derek RoylanceH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
5/17/2022George CurranA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
4/26/2022John DuncanH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
4/19/2022Andy ThomasA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
WLLLL
Last 1040% win rate↓ declining
WLLLLWLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Mark Sweet101100%9/5/2023
Paul Gartside0110%8/29/2023
Connor Flaherty0110%8/15/2023
Ronnie Belshaw0110%8/8/2023
Liam Gregson0110%8/1/2023
Martin Webster101100%7/25/2023
Neil Lynch0110%7/18/2023
Dave Twigg101100%7/11/2023
R Bevington101100%6/27/2023
Mike Mullen0110%6/21/2023
Biggest Win
Terry Kelly (+10)5/9/2023
Heaviest Defeat
Andy Thomas (-19)4/19/2022
Best Season
202347% · 17 matches
Worst Season
202233% · 12 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
29% → 53%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
95929 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
5-838% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
7-944% win rate
Division 141.4%
12W·17L·29 played

Debut

Apr 19, 2022

Latest

Sep 5, 2023

Seasons Active

2 (1.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

14.5 (29 total)

Seasons

20222023